LocalSYR

Dave Longley's Blog: What to expect from Sandy on Monday

Now we wait to see how all this pans out. After a week of incredible weather setting up this historical scenario along the coast, we now wait to see what this means for our area.
(WSYR-TV, Syracuse)  After looking at unbelievable scenarios the past week, we're down to the final hours to see if this all pans out. There's no doubt, mind you, that the upper trough will eventually capture Sandy and shoot her toward the Jersey shoreline. Here are the things we're watching as we head into Monday.

Rain:
Overall, Monday morning will be fine as you head to work and school. While a shower can't be ruled out, it still looks like the widespread rain will move in from the southeast during the afternoon. Rain is likely as the kids come back from school and the evening commute will be wet.  Occasionally heavy rain is likely through Monday evening, but we wouldn't be surprised if things start to wind down Monday night. At this point, this does not appear to be a significant rain event for us, with most areas seeing no more than an inch of rain by Wednesday.

Wind:
The period of strong wind will be in a 12 hour period from 6 pm Monday - 6 am Tuesday.  I'm not saying it won't be windy outside of those times, but during that 12 hour period, winds will be at their strongest.  20-40 mph sustained winds, with gusts to 60+ mph are likely.  This is enough to cause power outages.  Make sure you have a flashlight nearby when you go to bed Monday night, just in case.  While some trees are likely to come down, one thing that I will be watching for is the degree of damage.  For the most part, our trees can handle this wind speed.  However, the difference in this case is the wind direction.  Trees in our area grow with a defense to a strong westerly wind.  The strong wind we get Monday night will be from the north and northeast.  I just don't know if that'll "catch" the trees off guard, and we end up with widespread damage.  Thankfully, it's only a 12 hour period we're talking about.

Tuesday will still be windy, by definition, but the speeds and gusts will be less.  Precipitation will have tapered to scattered showers.

Everyone is wondering about Halloween.  Assuming the remnants of Sandy are nearby, we should not have much wind around.  There will be a few showers around for the trick or treaters.  Temperatures will be in the upper 40s to near 50.

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