OUTLOOK: Flood threat for central New York this week is low

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With some more milder weather moving in for all of central New York along Thursday night along with another half inch of rain, you may be wondering if we need to be concerned about flooding.

The short answer is the chances for flooding in central New York looks to be low at this time.

However, the one spot we’re keeping our eye on is the Tioughnioga River at Cortland. The forecast height of the river at this location is expected to reach the minor flood stage by Friday evening. 

As of Tuesday evening there was no widespread snow cover on the ground at the Syracuse airport anymore.

A quick scan of forecast river levels for the rest of central New York shows very little changes in the levels for most of the major streams and rivers through early Friday morning. 

Another thing to watch for are ice jams.  These are more unpredictable and could cause localized flooding if they were to occur.

In areas where heavy lake effect snow fell earlier last week (i.e western NY) there is a higher risk for some flooding.  In fact, some areas in western NY are already under Flood Warnings. These are in effect at least into Thursday night. Ice jams are the biggest potential issue.

We’ll keep monitoring the situation and if there are changes that make flooding look more likely here in central New York we will pass them along.

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