Snow lovers continue to struggle this 2020-21 winter season across Central New York, while those who aren’t big fans of the snow and cold get increasingly excited with the lack of snow and cold as March/spring fast approach!
As of Monday evening, January 4th, Syracuse has not even reached 18″ of snow for the season!! That is about two and a half feet of snow below average and by weeks end will be nearly three feet below normal through the first 10 days of January!
Snow lovers/winter enthusiasts are hoping for the pattern to change and change quickly at that! Unfortunately, snow lovers may have to wait till at least mid to late January before any changes of significance take place.
If you are loving this weather then you can thank the jet stream set up across North America for it.
The northern branch of the jet stream, also known as the Polar branch has been to the north of us all winter basically and is not expected to plunge significantly to the south of us through this second week of January, but mid to late this month this likely will be changing. It is looking more and more like the polar branch of the jet stream will be dipping south of the Northeast and CNY more frequently as we enter the last half of the month. This will give the region more opportunities to feel more typical January chill and snow in the form of lake effect and possibly even a storm or two depending on the jet stream set up.
Check out the high temperatures over the next week as we head towards the middle of January heading into next week. Notice the lack of arctic cold…
Also, notice the lack of arctic cold even in Southeastern Canada on the temperature map below from Sunday evening, January 10th. Typically this time of year readings are well below zero in a “normal” January. So even if we had a northwest wind there isn’t any real cold air to tap into just to the north like there usually is this time of year!
Meanwhile, the southern jet stream referred to as the sub-tropical branch has been and will continue to be quite active affecting the South with unsettled weather every few days or so.
We here in CNY along with much of the northern tier of the U.S. are between the jet streams for much of the upcoming week, as you can see on the graphic below all the cold is well north of the Northeast.
However, a transition to a more active and wintrier set up will take place after Thursday or Friday this week. The jet stream graphic below shows this nicely with the colder air and Polar Vortex getting closer to the Northeast and CNY in about a week. At least there’s some hope now to grab onto winter enthusiasts!